Here’s a solid piece of research about what’s beginning to be seen as just another “same ole problem that we’ve been hearing about forever, but that hasn’t stopped me from living well.” For me, it’s a bit like being warned that our boat is heading for a waterfalls that we can’t yet see. So we act a bit like MAD’s Alfred E. Neuman … “What? Me Worry?” But by the time we do see the actual waterfalls, it’s then too late to do anything about it.
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Leaked UN draft report
warns of urgent need
to cut global warming
IPCC says ‘rapid and far-reaching’ measures
required to combat climate change
Thu 14 Jun 2018
Countries can fight climate change and keep warming below 1.5C if they take immediate measures, says the leaked UN draft report.
The world is on track to exceed 1.5C of warming unless countries rapidly implement “far-reaching” actions to reduce carbon emissions, according to a draft UN report leaked to Reuters.
The final draft report from the UN’s intergovernmental panel on climate change (IPCC) was due for publication in October. It is the guiding scientific document for what countries must do to combat climate change.
Human-induced warming would exceed 1.5C by about 2040 if emissions continued at their present rate, the report found, but countries could keep warming below that level if they made “rapid and far-reaching” changes.
Under the 2015 Paris climate agreement, almost 200 countries signed up to limit global temperature rises to well below 2C above pre-industrial levels and to pursue efforts to limit the temperature increase to 1.5C.
Climate scientist and Climate Analytics director Bill Hare said the draft report showed with greater clarity how much faster countries needed to move towards decarbonisation under various temperature situations and that the impacts of climate change greatly increased between 1.5C and 2C of warming.
Necessary actions include making the transition to renewable energy, powering the transport sector with zero carbon electricity, improving agricultural management and stopping deforestation. Hare said …
“This IPCC report shows anyone drawing from
published papers that there are big differences
between 1.5 and 2 degrees warming in both
natural and human systems. Two degrees
warming and the tropical reefs have basically
no chance – 1.5 degrees, they have a small
to modest chance of survival.
“There’s a range of commentary that comes
out of the report that provides a stronger
narrative for us to act than ever before.”
He said it showed that if emissions continued on their present pathway, there was no chance of limiting global temperature rises even to 3C.
Economic modelling in the draft report showed that the dangers for economic growth, particularly in developing countries, were significantly greater at 2C than 1.5C.
The Greenpeace International executive director, Jennifer Morgan, said the moment of truth had come for leaders and the feasibility of achieving the Paris goals was a political choice. She said …
“This choice must be driven by a moral obliga-
tion that binds us together. Through inter-
national cooperation, real ambition and
working with communities, our leaders
still have the time to do what they must.
“That means saying no to fossil fuels and standing
up for forest and ocean protection with decisions
that prove they understand the urgency. It means
cutting down on meat and dairy consumption,
and changing the way we produce our food.”
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In having created a truly Net Zero sustainable community, I can tell you that the technology is readily available and economically feasible to provide all the power we need – and at less cost – for our homes and our cars. But as the U.S. major industries are based on oil and on gas-consuming cars, the rate at which we’re changing is far slower than that of the rest of the world. (And trying to promote coal is like trying to rekindle buggy whips!)
The biggest concern I have is about water and the dominant use of fresh water: food. We’ve never experienced a food shortage – except when a major storm is coming and the supermarket shelves are emptied. However, in that scenario, we also expect that those shelves will be restocked immediately after the storm passes. But …
What if they’re not going to be restocked?
It’s difficult to even imagine that eventuality, isn’t it? And that’s precisely the “waterfalls effect.” If it were to happen, what would we do then? That’s an ugly scenario none of us wants to explore. So …
Despite our political leadership moving away from what the rest of the world is doing – and needs to do even more aggressively – we need to take essential steps, as individuals, to ensure our future. It’s not something for the next generation to address; it’s here … now.
It’s something we need to address.
And we need to act sooner than later!
(My “Challenge of Change” book provides a wealth of practical information on how to make all these crucial changes. And the book is free. Just click the hyperlink:
You can download the pdf file, read the book, implement what you can, and pass the file along to others you believe would also value the information.)